Tribalism has been getting a bad rap lately.
Everyday we hear how the us-vs.-them mentality in politics is tearing us apart. That’s the dark side of tribalism. But a tribe can also help members achieve worthwhile goals that would otherwise be hard to reach. Investment advisors can leverage the upside of tribalism by creating a tribe of clients, encouraging clients to feel special about being part of group of people who are willing to do the difficult things necessary for success where others fail.
What We’ll Cover:
- The behavior gap
- Facing a hyena
- How to build a tribe
First, The Behavior Gap
If investors fail to attain their long-term goals, it’s probably not going to be for lack of data or opportunity. In an era when investors have so much access to information and investment methods, one of the biggest ways a financial advisor can add value is by helping clients close the behavior gap. The behavior gap is the space between what people plan to do and what they actually do.
Part of the human condition is the difficulty of sticking with plans and goals. Nearly a quarter of New Year’s resolutions fail within a week. Gym memberships soar in early January. Eighty percent of those new members quit within five months. Only 8% of people reach the goals they set in New Year’s resolutions.1
A Pervasive Problem With Investors
The leading reason investors underperform the market is failure to stick with a plan. In fact, financial advisor and author Carl Richards coined the term “behavior gap” to describe investor behavior in his 2012 book by the same name.
When the market or particular segments of the market are soaring, investors worry that they’re missing out, causing them to succumb to the temptation to buy high. Likewise, they panic when the market falls (or when they try to anticipate that it’s about to fall), causing them to sell low and miss out on any future recovery.
It’s not that investors don't know the hazards of trying to catch the latest hot trend, or that they shouldn’t panic when the market falls. No one goes into the market thinking they should buy at the high and sell at the low. The problem is that in the moment, when faced with the ups and downs of the market, it’s hard to resist the urge to do those things.
The Result: The Average Investor Has Underperformed the Equity Market
Over the past twenty years, the average stock investor’s returns have been 31% below the S&P 500 Index (3.88% vs. 5.62%).2 That gap in performance isn’t due to a lack of knowledge or opportunity: some of the most widely-available and lowest-cost mutual funds simply mimic the holdings of the S&P 500. The cause of the gap is behavioral. Investors don’t follow through on their goals, instead jumping on at the end of the latest bandwagon and pulling money out of the market in fear.
In the tumultuous markets of 2018, the behavior gap was especially pronounced. That year, the S&P 500 fell by 4.38% but the average equity-fund investor lost more than double that amount, 9.42%. Dalbar, the company that annually measures investor behavior, found that investors did an especially poor job timing the market, “…investors sensed danger in the markets and decreased their exposure, but not nearly enough to prevent serious losses. Unfortunately, the problem was compounded by being out of the market during the recovery months."3
Apparently, the more the market tests investors’ resolve, the more trouble they have staying the course. This is where the upside of tribalism can intervene.
Second, Facing a Hyena
Being a part of a tribe fulfills several human needs, including our need to feel like we belong to a group and that we’re distinct from other groups. A sense of belongingness comes from membership in a group with shared beliefs and goals. Distinctiveness comes from having different (and presumably better) beliefs and goals than members of other tribes.
Although our tribal instincts get a bad rap, they wouldn’t have evolved if they didn’t serve a positive purpose. Forming tight-knit, kinship groups helped our species survive.
Every Day, We See Ways That Being Part of a Tribe Helps Us Feel Good and Accomplish Hard Things
Third, How to Build a Tribe
As an advisor, you can provide value by identifying the hyena, uplifting clients to feel good and special about doing the hard work (and reaping the ultimate benefits) of not fleeing. By purposely using tribal language, language that activates a sense of identity as investor, an advisor can establish a sense of belonging and distinctiveness among their clients that will help them to resist the temptations that prevent most investors from achieving their goals.
Create Your Tribe Message
Tell clients that your approach is distinct from other advisors’ approaches because it requires some hard work, work that many investors aren’t willing to do. Be clear with your clients that the reason most investors fall short and underperform the market over the long term is because they aren’t willing to do the hard work in advance. They aren’t willing to acknowledge the possibility they will fail.
Advisors should warn clients that they may see other tribes get swept up in the current—the pundits, the market as a whole, even people they know. They may gorge on cryptocurrency because that’s the next paradigm-changer (or whatever becomes the next next-paradigm-changer.) They may believe they can beat the market by timing the next downturn, or get the jitters and sell in moments of personal and market weakness.
Work with your clients to establish a sense of identity around willingness to do the work of foreseeing the obstacles that can cause them to fail, especially the ways in which their own behavior might fall short. Members of your tribe may know something that others don’t: that imagining failure can create success because it allows you to remove the obstacles in your way before you run into them, which helps to create a clearer path to your goals.
Your Tribe of Determined, Patient Investors Can Consider Ways to Prevent Themselves From Making Rash Changes To Their Plans
Instead of feeling left out or left behind when the market or some sector rises, clients may get a boost to their self-esteem if they resist the temptation to chase hot trends. Your clients may derive a sense of distinctiveness as they see other people chasing such impulses because they know those investors may regret their decisions if the hot trend fizzles out.
At the very least, having such discussions in advance creates a stop-and-think moment between client and advisor at the most crucial time: when the hyena jumps in front of an investor, and they need reminding that long-term success depends on not fleeing, unless that’s an anticipated part of plan.
1 Ashley Moor, “This is How Many People Actually Stick to their New Year’s Resolutions,” MSN Lifestyle, 12/4/18; Kyle Hoffman; “41 Gym Membership Statistics That Will Surprise You,” Infographic Journal, 3/7/19
2 Quantitative Analysis of Investor Behavior, Dalbar, 12/31/18.
3 “Average Investor blown away by market turmoil in 2018,” Dalbar, March 25, 2019.
Dalbar’s Quantitative Analysis of Investor Behavior Methodology - Dalbar’s Quantitative Analysis of Investor Behavior uses data from the Investment Company Institute (ICI), Standard & Poor’s and Barclays Index Products to compare mutual fund investor returns to an appropriate set of benchmarks. Covering the period from January 1, 1999, to December 31, 2018, the study utilizes mutual fund sales, redemptions and exchanges each month as the measure of investor behavior. These behaviors reflect the “average investor.” Based on this behavior, the analysis calculates the “average investor return” for various periods. These results are then compared to the returns of respective indices.
Average equity investor performance results are calculated using data supplied by the Investment Company Institute. Investor returns are represented by the change in total mutual fund assets after excluding sales, redemptions and exchanges. This method of calculation captures realized and unrealized capital gains, dividends, interest, trading costs, sales charges, fees, expenses and any other costs. After calculating investor returns in dollar terms, two percentages are calculated for the period examined: Total investor return rate and annualized investor return rate. Total investor return rate is determined by calculating the investor return dollars as a percentage of the net of the sales, redemptions, and exchanges for each period.
The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author, who is not affiliated with Hartford Funds. The information contained herein should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation of any product or service nor should it be relied upon to, replace the advice of an investor’s own professional legal, tax and financial advisors