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Schroders: Emerging Markets Investment Outlook

May 2019

A monthly outlook reviewing the markets and the top-down, quantitative model Schroders uses to make emerging-markets country allocation decisions.


Key Points: 

  • A resurfacing of US-China trade tensions has served to increase risk aversion recently.

  • No major change to the emerging markets forecasts are envisaged, with growth of 4.5% and 4.6% anticipated for this and next year, respectively.  
  • A number of index changes take place at the end of May. Argentina re-enters the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, as the country is reclassified from Frontier, and Saudi Arabia will be included for the first time.  


Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Foreign investments may be more volatile and less liquid than U.S. investments and are subject to the risk of currency fluctuations and adverse political and economic developments. These risks may be greater for investments in emerging markets. 

The outlook from Schroders Investment Management North America Inc. and Schroder Investment Management North America Limited (“Schroders”) refers to their proprietary top-down, quantitative, model which is used to make country allocation decisions across their emerging markets strategies. The outlook focuses on the positioning of the country model during the relevant period and may or may not reflect the actual country allocations of any Hartford Fund or account. 

The views expressed herein are those of Schroders Investment Management (Schroders), are for informational purposes only, and are subject to change based on prevailing market, economic, and other conditions. The views expressed may not reflect the opinions of Hartford Funds or any other sub-adviser to our funds. They should not be construed as research or investment advice nor should they be considered an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. This information is current at the time of writing and may not be reproduced or distributed in whole or in part, for any purpose, without the express written consent of Schroders or Hartford Funds.

Neither MSCI nor any other party involved in or related to compiling, computing or creating the MSCI data makes any express or implied warranties or representations with respect to such data (or the results to be obtained by the use thereof), and all such parties hereby expressly disclaim all warranties of originality, accuracy, completeness, merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose with respect to any of such data. Without limiting any of the foregoing, in no event shall MSCI, any of its affiliates or any third party involved in or related to compiling, computing or creating the data have any liability for any direct, indirect, special, punitive, consequential or any other damages (including lost profits) even if notified of the possibility of such damages. No further distribution or dissemination of the MSCI data is permitted without MSCI's express written consent.

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