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Market Performance Tends to Be Positive 3 Months After Midterm Elections
S&P 500 Index (% Returns)

Horizontal bar chart showing S&P 500 percentage returns in U.S. midterm election years from 1970 to 2022, comparing performance three months before Election Day and three months after Election Day, with post‑election returns more often positive and larger.
Infographic: Going back to 1970, the stock market has averaged a 2.5% gain three months before election day and a 6.5% gain three months after election day.

Chart Data: 1970-2023. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The Index is unmanaged and not available for direct investment. For illustrative purposes only. Data Source: Morningstar, 3/26. 

 

What Drives Markets More Than Politics?

Though elections can make investors anxious, market returns are more dependent on corporate earnings, the economic outlook, and investor sentiment than election outcomes.

 

A financial professional can help you build a portfolio that’s right for you despite political uncertainty. 

 

S&P 500 Index is a market capitalization-weighted price index composed of 500 widely held common stocks.

Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.

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